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Tuesday, September 4, 2012



Rule Or Ruin?

Many technical advances present two faces. For instance, we have an unrealistic view of life in the “Horse & Buggy” age. In the motor vehicle age we see death and injury rates and imagine that things were better in earlier times. They were not by any measure; horses are difficult to control at best and the drivers then were no more responsible than they are now. The key to reducing the downside of motor vehicles has been to make cars, trucks and big boy’s toys safer through technical improvements. The rules of the road -among other things- have to improve as well.

A new book, Automate This: How Algorithms Came to Rule Our World, came out last week. Former tech journalist Christopher Steiner delves into the rise in the use of this digital tool as well as its impact on our society. In a Fast Company interview, he says he initially planned to just cover the use of algorithms on Wall Street. But from that starting point his research took him out further and further into our lives like the concentric waves when a rock splashes in a lake. Algorithms make Google search work. They drive customer service programs, they are everywhere.

Many of us know that algorithms underlie the high-speed traders who dominate our stock markets these days. They carry out most of the billions of trades the markets see every day. The upside is that the cost of trading has been going down with this volume. One downside is that some high-volume traders use this tool to shadow trades being exercised by pension funds and other wealth management entities. They can race ahead of these traders scooping up their target stocks and selling them to the funds at a higher price seconds later. The effect is to drive up the cost of the securities in your 401(k) or Grandma’s pension plan.  

Worse, they have contributed to the market’s abandonment of its only benefit to society, as a source of capital for business. In fact the markets have veered from the view of arguably the most talented investor in the world, Warren Buffett, who famously said, "The best time to sell a stock is never." Businesses are obsessed with daily prices and struggle to meet the quarterly expectations of the market instead of the long-term goals that could make them hugely more profitable.

There is a simple solution for this problem. Tax capital gains based on the length of time an investment is held. Just for fun let’s say if you hold an investment for twenty years or more, there would be no tax liability. Ten to twenty years, 5%, five to ten years 10%, two to five years 15%, one to two years 25%, one month to a year 50%, one week to a month 75%, less than a week 95%. Better than pirating value from Grandma’s pension, better for investors, better for business and their employees, better for America. Ethically there is no basis for the gambling hall culture on Wall Street; high speed trading is one gaming table we don’t need.

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