Missing The Point

The Security and Exchange Commission (SEC) has broad powers to regulate our security markets and those who do business in this arena, commonly known as Wall Street. Last week (2012.10.02) the SEC convened a high-frequency trading panel to review this practice that creates as many as 70% of all investment market trades. We use the term investment loosely, that’s the last thing high-frequency traders practice; they could be more accurately described as pirates.

Using ever more sophisticated algorithms, the high-frequency traders search for various types of large trades, then race ahead of them buying up the target and less than a second later sell, raising the price and essentially stealing from the institutional buyer. That means that your 401K or Granny’s pension fund ends up paying more. While it’s legal larceny it’s neither ethical nor in any way beneficial to society. The traders will claim they have lowered the cost of trading. While that might be true, any savings vanish in the inflated pricing they add to the markets.

Given all the damage the traders flying the Jolly Roger inflict on the markets, there was great hope that last week’s meeting would bring some relief. Kiss that hope goodbye. The panel focused exclusively on the problems high-frequency traders encounter when their computer programs malfunction. In May of 2010 a trillion dollars in market value briefly disappeared. Three computer-gone-wild incidents have occurred this year. On August 1^st Knight Capital lost $440 million in the blink of an eye and the firm nearly went bust. Oh, those poor babies.

That triggered this SEC panel discussion, a discussion that focused on protecting the high-frequency traders from harm. There seems to be a consensus on creating “Kill-Switches” that could cut off destructive (to the Jolly Roger sector) computer glitches. The discussions centered on Kill-Switch access, who can push the button and should they be hair triggered or take a little longer. For its part the SEC has created an Office of Analytics and Research to study the issues. It will take time to get the office set up, hire the geeks to man it and give them enough time to study the issues – albeit all the wrong issues.

The issue the SEC should be studying is how to reign in this useless, destructive  practice. The stock markets exist to allocate capital. High-frequency traders do nothing to serve that purpose; actually they interfere with the underlying purpose of the investment markets. It’s time to send them packing.

Currently capital gains on investments held more than a year are taxed at the 15% level. We’d like to suggest some new tax brackets. For investments held twenty years or more, there would be no tax liability on capital gains. For ten to twenty years, 5%, five to ten years 10%, two to five years 15%, one to two years 25%, one month to a year 50%, one week to a month 75%, less than a week 95%. That will force these pirates to sail off into the sunset; or perhaps to Las Vegas where the odds are not stacked in their favor.

Rule Or Ruin?

Many technical advances present two faces. For instance, we have an unrealistic view of life in the “Horse & Buggy” age. In the motor vehicle age we see death and injury rates and imagine that things were better in earlier times. They were not by any measure; horses are difficult to control at best and the drivers then were no more responsible than they are now. The key to reducing the downside of motor vehicles has been to make cars, trucks and big boy’s toys safer through technical improvements. The rules of the road -among other things- have to improve as well.

A new book, Automate This: How Algorithms Came to Rule Our World, came out last week. Former tech journalist Christopher Steiner delves into the rise in the use of this digital tool as well as its impact on our society. In a Fast Company interview, he says he initially planned to just cover the use of algorithms on Wall Street. But from that starting point his research took him out further and further into our lives like the concentric waves when a rock splashes in a lake. Algorithms make Google search work. They drive customer service programs, they are everywhere.

Many of us know that algorithms underlie the high-speed traders who dominate our stock markets these days. They carry out most of the billions of trades the markets see every day. The upside is that the cost of trading has been going down with this volume. One downside is that some high-volume traders use this tool to shadow trades being exercised by pension funds and other wealth management entities. They can race ahead of these traders scooping up their target stocks and selling them to the funds at a higher price seconds later. The effect is to drive up the cost of the securities in your 401(k) or Grandma’s pension plan.  

Worse, they have contributed to the market’s abandonment of its only benefit to society, as a source of capital for business. In fact the markets have veered from the view of arguably the most talented investor in the world, Warren Buffett, who famously said, "The best time to sell a stock is never." Businesses are obsessed with daily prices and struggle to meet the quarterly expectations of the market instead of the long-term goals that could make them hugely more profitable.

There is a simple solution for this problem. Tax capital gains based on the length of time an investment is held. Just for fun let’s say if you hold an investment for twenty years or more, there would be no tax liability. Ten to twenty years, 5%, five to ten years 10%, two to five years 15%, one to two years 25%, one month to a year 50%, one week to a month 75%, less than a week 95%. Better than pirating value from Grandma’s pension, better for investors, better for business and their employees, better for America. Ethically there is no basis for the gambling hall culture on Wall Street; high speed trading is one gaming table we don’t need.