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Showing posts with label commodities. Show all posts
Showing posts with label commodities. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 14, 2013



Published in CommPro.biz 2013.08.08

Anything Goes

The Monster Banks’ best investment over the last few decades has been the tens of millions they poured into the pockets of the Congress through their “K” Street lobbyists. It paid off, billions in profits that come right out of the pockets of every American. The bankers’ big score was the Financial Services Modernization Act of 1999, AKA the Gramm–Leach–Bliley Act (GLB) named for three members of our Congress who giggled all the way to their banks.

GLB gutted the Glass/Steagall Act; legislation written in the early 1930s limiting banks to the business of banking: taking deposits, making loans, supporting our economy. As a reward we agreed to insure the money of the bank’s depositors, so that should the bank go bust, the money you had in the bank would be safe (up to $10,000). GLB took down the fences, but left the taxpayers on the hook should the banks fail.

That and another gift from Congress, a law exempting Wall Street from gambling laws, opened the door to the crazy stuff that drove our economy off the cliff. The Monster Banks could use your deposits to bet on almost anything, always backed by America’s taxpayers. There are less than a dozen banks in this arena, the To-Big-To-Fail (TBTF) banks that we bailed out when the derivative fueled house of cards they created collapsed. Your corner neighborhood bank didn’t play this game. Unfortunately they suffered along with the rest of us, worse because the TBTF banks buoyed by gambling profits held a competitive edge. 

The TBTF Monster Banks are right back at it. Taking zero interest bucks from the Fed to gamble instead of investing in our economy. There’s a new game in town, commodities. Ten years ago the TBTF Banks got the Federal Reserve to set up a “Temporary” ruling allowing them to deal in commodities. When their mortgage game evaporated, the Monster Banks jumped into this marketplace. With all the free money at their disposal they bought grain and oil, even oil wells and tankers. They are into power, manipulating your electric bill, Enron redux.

Metals -steel, aluminum, copper- all commodity markets they can manipulate; a buck on a new car, a few pennies on a cell phone, a tenth of a penny on your soft drink can. Goldman Sachs, the mother of all TBTF Monster Banks, owns a couple dozen warehouses in Detroit full of aluminum bars. They shuffle them around from one warehouse to another in a dance that allows them to circumvent the law and jack up the cost of aluminum. Anything goes, ethics walks the plank.

The “Temporary” commodity games regulations expire next month. The Monster Banks are working hard to extend it. It better not happen. More important, we must get these banks out of the other gambling halls we have allowed them to create. We have to stop this nonsense and cut these big banks -quite literally- down to size. If we fail, it’s just a matter of time until we have to bail them out again.

Tuesday, March 20, 2012

That Greasy Sleazy Feeling
 
As we pull out of the gas station these days, in addition to the empty spot in our wallets there’s a scent of sleaze in the air. It’s not our friendly gas station dude, he’s just trying to get by like a lot of us; it’s more complicated than that. The more we drill down, we discover that it has little to do with the price of oil. But isn’t oil scarce, aren’t we importing more than ever before? No, actually we are producing about 80% of our needs. All that new drilling that fired up over the last few years combined with reductions in usage, has narrowed that gap. Don’t say anything out loud, but America is even exporting oil. What’s the problem then?

There are many factors from the seasonal bump we see this time every year, to the capacity of our refineries, to unrest in the Middle East. While the latter does not seem to be a real factor given how little we need from those folks, there is no doubt that it is a factor. Not in the way you might think, however. No less an authority than Goldman Sachs has found a culprit that adds at least $.56 to the price of every gallon of gasoline. It’s the casino called Wall Street.

The commodities market was designed to stabilize the price of grain, cattle, pork and other things including oil. The idea is to assure the producer’s pricing when the fruits of their labor hits the market. But of course it turns out that you don’t have to be a buyer or seller of these commodities to get into the game. You just have to have the bucks and the free pass that the Congress gave Wall Street, immunity from gambling laws. Add something like instability in the Middle East and give their roulette wheel a spin; we always lose.

Now the commodities market is flooded with all kinds of financial instruments, things like “swaps,” the fun stuff that helped toss the world economy into the dumpster. Speculating on commodities has always been around but until recently the end users and producers controlled over two-thirds of the contracts. Today that number has flipped and two-thirds are in the hands of speculators. Not the players in the oil market that have traditionally dominated this game. Today a frighteningly small number of Wall Street types hold the price of oil in their hands; playing with what we pay at the pump.

You can figure that seven to eight bucks is pocketed by the Wall Street types every time you fill up, ten bucks or more if you drive a bigger vehicle. The average price for a gallon would be a little over three bucks without Wall Street’s “take.” Given the rare peek we got into the wonderful world of Wall Street when one of its own, Greg Smith, laid out his reasons for leaving Goldman Sachs in an OP-ED, you can imagine the nicknames the Wall Street types pin on us. While most businesses, in fact most folks are trying to do the right thing, pond scum like Goldman and their ilk have no concept of the ethical life.

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

What's Fair

What's Fair
 
A Bloomberg Businessweek focus on wealth inequality (11.16.11) came up with some stunning conclusions. Using Census numbers –and a wide variety of past and present expert opinions– they point to the existing and growing disparity of wealth in America and conclude that it is bad for our economy. The gridlock we are experiencing leads those who are slipping behind to conclude that they have no hope, that they are at the mercy of the rich. The two ends of the economic ladder slip into bitter blame game positions.

Here’s where this game goes wrong for the rich. Income inequality leads to social instability. That leads to the belief that the system (read Stock Market) is rigged in favor of the ultra rich and you lose as much as a generation of investors. They point to the stock market following the crash in 1929. It took until 1954 for it to regain its pre-depression level, more than a quarter century. One wonders how long an extended downturn of that nature might last if we do not find our way out of the gridlock now engulfing us. Unlike the ‘30s, ‘40s, and ‘50s, in the era of the 401k etc. there are lots of middle class folks with a stake in the stock market these days.

We keep hearing that the rich create jobs. But the research shows that jobs are created by small businesses. Those folks are not the rich; they are what’s left of the middle class. They are looking for loans to grow and hire, but the banks that we all bailed out are not lending to small businesses. Instead they are back in the risky games that got us into this mess. Worse, small businesses are paying the high corporate taxes –not the big guys.

Speaking of taxes, it makes no sense for the poor and middle class to shell out a bigger piece of their income than the rich. Everyone seems to understand this except those in DC who hold to the job creation myth, and of course the rich who haven’t been able to do the math. When you talk to the savvy wealthy folks, you find that they favor a more equitable tax system. They understand that you can’t build a healthy economy on the backs of the poor. The smartest investor on the planet, Warren Buffett, figured it out years ago. No matter how big your slice is, you can’t do well if the pie keeps shrinking.

In the meantime, if the rich are not creating jobs with their wealth, what are they doing with their money? Well, their investments seem focused on commodities, where they speculate and drive up prices on food and oil; thanks for high gas prices. And they are driving the luxury market; if it’s expensive, they’re buying. Even the price of first class air travel – would you believe aircraft fitted with showers and private compartments? After all you have to look sharp when you arrive in some exotic locale. And what’s $15,000 or $20,000 for a plane ride. There are some pretty obvious ethical issues in all this. Too bad they don’t seem to matter much in our world where the Lobbyists rule in DC. How many of them do you think work for the middle class and the poor?